
Strikeforce: ‘Lawler vs. Shields’ is set to go down this Saturday, June 6 from the Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri, live on Showtime starting at 10p.m. ET.
Remember: MMAmania.com will provide LIVE updates with blow-by-blow, round-by-round commentary of the main card action on fight night, which is slated to air at 10 p.m. ET.
To get us pumped for the festivities, MMAmania.com Editor and Senior Writer Jesse Holland (that’s me) will break down the main event matches and take a closer look at the intricacies of each contest.
Strikeforce has put together a solid show featuring a couple of fighters we just saw back in April — but in this case a repeat performance isn’t necessarily a bad thing.
Anyone who’s been following Strikeforce — especially in the wake of the ProElite acquisitions can tell you there is some serious talent at work here.
One of the big stories coming into June 6 is of course the late addition of former UFC heavyweight champion Andre Arlovski to the main card as he takes on the menacing Brett “The Grim” Rogers. Does “The Pitbull” still have the Emelianenko loss on his mind or has he moved on?
And what about Jake Shields moving up in weight? Can he handle the streaking Robbie Lawler? And if Lawler and Diaz both win, is a blockbuster rematch inevitable? There is definitely a lot of ground to cover.
I’ve also included the current betting lines for each fight so that you can get a feel for what the money has to say about the chances of each combatant.
Now, enough with the formalities … let’s get cracking:
182 lbs. (Catchweight): “Ruthless” Robbie Lawler (16-4) vs. Jake Shields (22-4-1)
Backgrounds: Both competitors have been out of action since their former employer ProElite went out of business last November. Shields defeated talented British striker Paul “Semtex” Daley on the final event for the promotion last October. The victory was the first title defense for the Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt. He captured the vacant title with a first round submission win over Nick “The Goat” Thompson a little more than two months earlier on the July 26 EliteXC: “Unfinished Business” card. For Lawler, it’s been a little longer since he last saw action, finishing off Scott Smith in the second round of their rematch on the “Unfinished Business” card in July 2008. The two engaged in one of the best fights in the short history of the organization in their first encounter in May, but the fight was ruled a no contest because of an inadvertent eye poke, which led to the rematch. The win over Smith was the fifth in a row for “Ruthless” — sans the dreaded no contest — and he wasn’t fighting any bums either. That list included Frank Trigg, Joey Villasenor and Murilo “Ninja” Rua. Not to mention earlier career victories over Niko Vitale (twice), Chris Lytle and others.
Dumbass predicts: There was a time when most UFC fans thought of Robbie Lawler only in the context of his faceplant against Nick Diaz at UFC 47 back in 2004. No more. After spending some time away from Zuffa and putting on two terrific performances against Scott Smith for Elite XC, “Ruthless” finds himself headlining a Strikeforce card against another guy that many of today’s fans hear a lot about but in actuality have seen little of. For me, this is going to be the deciding factor regarding Jake Shields’ true ability. He’s definitely got the grappling chops and has big wins over guys like Josh Thompson and Carlos Condit. Having said that, it must also be noted that nearly fifty-percent of Shields’ wins have come by way of decision and aside from Thompson, many of the bigger names he’s faced have gone the distance. That makes me wonder if he will be able to submit Lawler (even though Mayhem did it in ICON Sport) and if he can’t, can he survive the remainder of the fight against a guy who hasn’t gone to a decision in six years? Lawler’s size shouldn’t be that much of a factor, considering Shields also has a win over the very big and strong Yushin Okami back in 2006 for Rumble on the Rock, but my gut tells me that with five straight (T)KO wins, this is Robbie’s time. I expect Shields’ gas tank to fail him at some point in the third and Lawler will capitalize with a technical knockout.
Betting lines (as of June 5):
Lawler: -125 ((Bet Now))
Shields: -105 ((Bet Now))
Prediction: Lawler via TKO
180 lbs. (Catchweight): Nick Diaz (19-7) vs. Scott “Hands of Steel” Smith (17-5)
Backgrounds: Former UFC fighters Nick Diaz Scott Smith are coming off perhaps the biggest wins of their careers on April 11. Diaz stopped promotion pillar Frank Shamrock via second round TKO in the main event of “Shamrock vs. Diaz” in the first Strikeforce event since putting its new ProElite acquisitions to work. “Hands of Steel” lived up to his nickname earlier this month by knocking out the hard hitting Benji Radach with a little over a minute remaining in their three round slugfest. Smith was battered and bloodied, but refused to back down and stunned “Razor” — and the rest of the crowd with his thrilling come-from-behind win. Now the two biggest winners from April 11 will meet for a chance to crown themselves the King of St. Louis — and perhaps San Jose — now that Strikeforce elder statesman Frank Shamrock has dropped two straight.
Dumbass predicts: I would not have expected to see these two guys again so quickly after April 11, but after the performances they gave us in San Jose I’m certainly glad they’re back — and I expect more of the same from each fighter. Both Diaz and Smith have to be coming into this fight very confident following their sensational wins, and that translates into a very entertaining fight for the fans. What’s interesting about this fight is that Diaz could probably end it early if he made use of those stellar jiu-jitsu skills, but we all know that’s not what he’s about. Diaz is there to fight and his rat-tat-tat style is tailored perfectly for Smith. “Hands of Steel” also has a heart of steel and will put up a good fight (and is by no means is a pushover), but Diaz lands a ridiculous amount of strikes per round and should cruise to a unanimous decision. It’s hard to count Smith out after his miraculous comeback against Radach last April, but the wily Diaz is a craftier opponent who is relentless and nearly impossible to finish.
Betting lines (as of June 5):
Diaz: -400 ((Bet Now))
Smith: +250 ((Bet Now))
Prediction: Diaz via unanimous decision
265 lbs.: Andrei “The Pitbull” Arlovski (15-6) vs. Brett “The Grim” Rogers (9-0)
Backgrounds: Andrei Arlovski has been working with famed boxing trainer Freddie Roach over the past year or so to help him improve his striking. Unfortunately, we didn’t get to see more of it against Fedor Emelianenko at Affliction: “Day of Reckoning” back on January 24. “The Pitbull” was winning the stand up exchanges before attempting a fly knee, which the champion countered with a quick right that put Arlovski down for the count midway through the opening frame. Prior to the loss, Arlovski was seen devouring IFL veteran Roy “Big Country” Nelson at Elite XC: “Heat” on October 4 of 2008. After losing back-to-back fights in the UFC against Tim Sylvia, Arlovski went on to win five of six with four technical knockouts. “The Grimm” has stormed through the first nine men he’s faced rather easily, finishing each of them with strikes. In fact, only once — in his most recent victory over Ron “Abongo” Humphrey on April 11 — has the knockout artist faced an opponent who has survived beyond the first round.
Dumbass predicts: Like Nick Diaz, Andrei Arlovski could probably win this fight in the first round via submission if he really wanted to. He’s a formidable grappler and his experience on the big stage puts him far ahead of Rogers in the grand scheme of things. He may be one of the best strikers in the heavyweight division regardless of promotion and he looks better and better in each fight. Even in his knockout loss to Emelianenko, one had to admire his performance. So why am I picking against him? Well folks, Brett Rogers has two choices in life: Succeed in mixed martial arts or go back to Sam’s Club and change tires for a living. I never pick against a man in that scenario. And Rogers is gangster. Not the “Hey I tilt my hat to the side and have a complex handshake” kind of gangster — the real deal. I was about four feet from him at the Elite XC ‘Primetime’ post-fight presser when he stood up — in front of his boss, his peers and the media — and told Kimbo Slice he tapped out to the elbows of James Thompson. Rogers wants to be the top guy. He wants to be the most feared heavyweight. If he isn’t, he’ll end up back in Minneapolis checking tire pressure. No way am I picking against that.
Betting lines (as of June 5):
Arlovski: -500 ((Bet Now))
Rogers: +300 ((Bet Now))
Prediction: Rogers via KO
170 lbs.: Phil “New York Bad Ass” Baroni (13-10) vs. Joe “Diesel” Riggs (29-10)
Backgrounds: Former UFC welterweight Joe Riggs was originally penciled in to face Jake Shields during the promotion’s debut on the premium cable network on April 11 in San Jose, but the Strikeforce match makers decided to scrap the bout in order to free Shields up for a superfight with Robbie Lawler in the main event instead. “Diesel” wasn’t too pleased with the decision either, because he felt like he had a decent shot at handing the former EliteXC champion his first loss in nearly four and a half years. Who knows, perhaps a win in St. Louis will move the veteran fighter closer to a match with his desired opponent, but for now he’ll have to settle with taking out his frustration on Baroni instead. The “New York Bad Ass” hit a bit of a dry spell, losing five of seven bouts from September of 2005 through May of 2008, but he bounced back to close out 2008 with three straight wins over Scott Jansen (KO), Ron Verdadero (TKO), and Olaf Alfonso (decision) after dropping down to compete as a welterweight in the 170 pound division. He’s kicked up his training a few notches as well and has been working with guys like Jake Shields, Josh Thomson and others in preparation for Riggs.
Dumbass predicts: Joe Riggs has a TKO win over UFC referee Herb Dean back in 2003. I say that because I’m trying to find something positive about his career and it’s proved to be challenging. No question he’s a tough guy who’s endured some real hardship inside and outside the cage, but for a guy with almost 40 fights under his belt you can pretty much get the sense of where things are going. For Riggs, it looks like nowhere. He’s too inconsistent, and aside from a razor thin decision over Nick Diaz in 2006, doesn’t have that one big win over a ‘name’ that indicates he can hang with the big dogs — however the fact that in 39 fights he’s only been to three decisions is pretty impressive. Baroni hasn’t been much better, but unlike “Diesel,” I think he’s turned the corner. He has a new conditioning program and has managed to put together three straight wins. He also has a genuine loathing for Riggs leading up to this fight as extra motivation. “The New York Bad Ass” still acts like a cartoon character but it looks like he’s taking his career seriously and I expect him to come out like a maniac and pummel Riggs en route to a first round stoppage.
Betting lines (as of June 5):
Baroni: -110 ((Bet Now))
Riggs: -120 ((Bet Now))
Prediction: Baroni via TKO
205 lbs.: Kevin “The Monster” Randleman (17-12) vs. Mike Whitehead (23-7)
Backgrounds: Kevin Randleman last competed on the second Sengoku card in May 2008, pulling out a unanimous decision victory over Ryo Kawamura. The fight was Randleman’s first MMA bout since 2006 — a submission loss to Mauricio “Shogun” Rua at Pride 32: “The Real Deal.” The two-time NCAA Division I Wrestling Champion from Ohio State University defeated Pete Williams at UFC 23 in 1999 to capture the vacant heavyweight title, but is perhaps best known for consistently fighting the cream of the crop during his tenure in PRIDE. Whitehead was eliminated from the The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 2 show by current UFC light heavyweight champion Rashad Evans. He got a second chance at UFC stardom at UFC 57, but got outworked by fellow TUF 2 contestant Keith Jardine. Instead of going away, Whitehead turned it up a notch — or five — by unleashing hell in smaller promotions, going 14-1 including a 4-0 run in the IFL (and a decision win over Krzysztof Soszynski) before the team-based promotion closed its doors. In fact, his only loss during that span was a unanimous decision to current Strikeforce light heavyweight champion Renato “Babalu” Sobral back at Affliction: “Banned” last July.
Dumbass predicts: Kevin Randleman knows how to talk it up. Watching him sell a fight is a thing of beauty because he looks fearsome and has the vernacular down pat. Unfortunately his record betrays that facade. Despite the wrestling talent and experience in the big show, “The Monster” is just 3-7 in his last ten fights and has been very underwhelming in his career. In fact, if you take away the flash knockout over Cro Cop from Pride in 2005, what is there to say? He’s the guy that dropped Fedor on his head — and decisioned Fatih Kocamis and Ryo Kawamura. That, coupled with the fact that he’s only fought once in three years has me favor Whitehead in this contest. Yes, he looked flat on TUF 2, but he’s been red hot as of late and actually beat some decent competition. The important thing is that he’s been fighting consistently and winning — and I have to believe his confidence is high (something that has hurt him in the past). Randleman will get a few takedowns in the first after he is unleashed, but Whitehead will survive and outwork him in rounds two and three.
Betting lines (as of June 5):
Randleman: -115 ((Bet Now))
Whitehead: -115 ((Bet Now))
Prediction: Whitehead via unanimous decision
That’s a wrap, folks.
Remember to come check us out after the show for all the latest results, recaps and our coverage of Strikeforce: “Lawler vs. Shields.”
What do you think? Now it’s your turn … let us have it in the comments section and share your thoughts and picks for Saturday’s event.
72 Comments »



















I think Shields and Lawler is a toss up and will be a very good fight…has Robbie ever been in a boring fight? AA is one of my favorite fighters of all time but his chin scares me evrytime he fights, there are just some fighters who I have no confidence in when it comes to taking a good shot, AA is one of them that being said to pick Rogers over AA becuase he is more gangster is “retarded” that’s like saying Kimbo is a bad man he should walk through everybody…AA ko’s Rogers in the first
Agreed, Mania “you are wrong” (like the freak from 300 lol) AA takes this with speed and accuracy.
pacman, I read your post about the Joe Rogan show, I told my wife I figured those guys from AKA would go over the weekend. Great show huh? where did you sit? I was one of those tables against the stage!
.
Shields
diaz
baroni
aa
so Jesse, I’m not crazy for laying 100 on grim just for the odds alone! Good pick, not mine but I did bet it!
I was hoping Grimm would open at +400 but +300 will have to do.
I’m betting on Lawler, Baroni and Grimm. I am SHOCKED that Diaz is that big of a favorite, I was expecting -250
Yep same here. What jesse said is slightly wrong. He doesn’t have his job at the tire shop when comes back home. They gave him his last shot after elite folded and now he decided to go for it so they told him no job waiting for him to fall back on-so this is it for the Grimm. That KO is the only option he has in life.
Last hijack for the moment
HAPPY BIRTHDAY JOHNNY BOY, don’t party too hard this weekend!
Since we’re off topic here, just saw a MMA prop =
Will Kimbo Slice make the Finals of The Ultimate Fighter Season 10? Kimbo Slice must fight in the Final Matchup for the UFC contract for “YES” to be graded the winner. All Wagers have action
Yes
+300
No
-500
kevin, i love Grimm here, also love lawler(sheilds won’t get him down, and his standup is awful), and Baroni(Riggs can bang but paces himself like he’s a technical striker or something. Baroni is gonna overwhelm him like he used to and Wand used to).
BTW, IF any one was wondering….
a $10 parlay with
Rogers
Nick Diaz
Mike Brown
Rich Franklin
Ben Saunders
Denis Stojnic
Robbie Lawler
Spencer Fisher
Terry Etim
Paul Taylor
Baroni
Dan Hardy
Paul Kelly
Pays $20,975 right now. Yea it’s a lotto ticket parlay but hell, I waste at least 10 bucks on scratch tickets most weeks anyway.
i don’t got showtime!!!!
call and ask for a promotion, it’s like 7 bucks a month
lol grimm? he may have all the heart and drive in the world, but that can’t overcome the years of experience and talent that arlovski has over him
happy B-day to you to kev!
I thought it was tomorrow?
*will be…not was
I agree Robert, I love AA, but every time he fights, I’m waiting for him to get clipped!
yep i love AA too, but this is a bad matchup for him..!
AA is 100% more technical than Rogers is, but the sad thing is that the lesser fighter only needs one or two shots and it is a real possibility cause Rogers is huge and just fights nasty..
Theres not a Heavyweight in the world that i like more than AA, but i just dont know about this fight man. Rogers definatly has the power to knock out Andrei.
rogers has power, reach and speed. timmy beat arlovski twice on reach alone.
his speed isn’t a factor cause he is much slower than Arlovski..
but faster than timmy.
correct, it’s still not an advantage, but i know what you’re sayin..
C’mon guys, give Andre some credit. He just picked apart the baddest man on the planet for almost four minutes. He’s going to smash this amateur back to the Tough Man circuit.
Yeah I like Rogers but I’m surprised there are just as many people picking Grimm as there were people picking AA over Fedor. Can’t believe so many people would pick AA over Fedor but Grimm over AA. Scary.
I’m picking AA, Grim is just a good bet odds wise! I do agree with you, but AA’s chin is suspect!
well Diceman that’s because styles make fights, Andrei had no problems picking Fedor apart in the standup he had a huge reach advantage over FEdor and was the much bigger man, that won’t be the case here and he is coming of a KO loss so that’s gotta be in the back of his head…
Replay the fedor fight, glancing blows- no picking apart, the slow-mo shows his punches getting deflected. The only thing that landed clean was the leg kicks and that last kick.
he was still controlling him and made Fedor miss and look amateurish up until the point where he got overconfident and wanted to finish..
Shields
Diaz
Arlovski
Riggs
Randleman (by staph infection slam)
Pumped for this card. Strikeforce are doing it big. Here are my picks:
Lawler KO R2
Diaz UD
Arlovski TKO R2
Baroni Hadoken R1
Randleman TKO R2
agreed but I think I’ll pick Mike Whitehead over Monster…ring rust and the fact that he’s overrated led me to this decision
Nah he’s strong enough to dry hump his way to a decision win. Unless a miracle happens and Randleman actually lets his hands go
Ruthless
Diaz
AA
Diesel
Whitehead
All by (T)KO. I get a feeling there wont be too many tapouts in this one.
Lawler via TKO(shields is horrible on the feet)
Diaz via Submission
Arlovski via KO(i pray to god)
Baroni via decision
Staph boy via decision.
“I was about four feet from him at the Elite XC ‘Primetime’ post-fight presser when he stood up — in front of his boss, his peers and the media — and told Kimbo Slice he tapped out to the elbows of James Thompson”
Yeah? So? What does this mean?
I like the pick…Roger’s has some serious power and like Jesse said he’s hungry. Arlovski’s trying to be to Hollywood lol..i think he lost his killer instinct
Arlovski hasn’t lost his killer instinct at all.
I mean he makes one mistake against the baddest man on the planet and all of a sudden he’s gonna lose to fighter of Rogers standard.
I’m not saying Rogers is not capable but Arlovski is not stupid and he will have learnt a lot from heavy handed fighters that have the ability to knock him out. I’m sure he knows not to have too much faith in his chin and will fight sensibly. He has a big speed and movement advantage and hits very hard.
I say Rogers gets rocked and Arlovski finishes him with strikes in R2.
As a bet Rogers is a good one but I still say Arlovski comes through with the win. I wanna see Overeem vs Arlovksi down the road and not Rogers just yet.
noe one is talking about how he wil come out after being kO’ED IN his last fight. Last trime he was Ko’ed, against Sylvia he didnt look the same for like the next five fights. I guess we are going to find out!
Rogers is a good underdog for sure and has the ability to deliver that 1 punch KO considering Arlovskis suspect chin.
Realistically I don’t think it will happen though. Remember, Rogers is facing his 1st REAL opponent in Arlovski and is considerably slower and from the fights I have seen hasn’t taken a solid punch from anyone yet.
Arlovski is the clear favourite for a few reasons and Saturday night we will be reminded why.
This comes from someone who has never been a big fan of Arlovski even though I do enjoy to see him fight. I will feel no way if Andrei loses and I’m just trying to call it like it is in my mind.
Jesse is just seeing a possible upset due to the fact that they both are comfortable on thier feet and Rogers has KO power.
He could well be right, but remember they dont call him Nostradumbass for nothing!!
If Rogers is mentally ready than anything could happen…
Arlovski is the clear favorite because he’s a much bigger name, that’s all in the past and won’t do anything for him in this fight except maybe give Rogers too much respect for him!
kind of off topic, but does anyone think we’ll see Cung Lee fight by the end of the year?
If Lawler brutally knocks out Shields I think he deserves a crack at that title.
STACKED card. Nick is my guy, but if he doesnt utilize that Black Belt, Smith will KO him in the second. Nick’s boxing defense is still not up to par with Scott’s hands.
Lawler
Diaz
Arlovski
Baroni
Randleman
Lawler(tko rd2)
Smith(tko rd 3)
AA(KO rd 1)
Baroni(KO rd 1)
Randleman(UD)
Can’t agree with the Rogers pick, he’s undefeated, doesn’t know what its like to get smashed which is both good and bad; he’s going to go after AA, get a little reckless and get KTFO. Arlovski’s coming off being KO’d so I expect to see the same timid approach he took against Tim in their 3rd fight and against Werdum. Only this time, he’s fighting a guy who I’m guessing is going to walk him down and get after him only problem is, Grimm’s never been in with a guy like AA before, he’s going to walk right into a BIG right hand and go to sleep.
Absolutely dead on with the Whitehead/Randleman prediction. The only problem I have with Scott Smith is that it’s difficult to have faith in a guy who wins via miracle punch so often.
Lawler via TKO round 1
Smith via decision
Arlovski via decision
Riggs via TKO
Randlman via TKO
You know as I was typing the Arlovski part I kind of chuckled to myself over how offended the AA fanboys would be. He’s -500, try and loosen up a bit.
It doesn’t take a lot of insight or analysis to go with all the favorites, and you get flamed for it when you do. There’s always an upset somewhere, you just have to find it and capitalize with a wager.
just because he’s a “real gangster” and “hungry” doesn’t mean he’s a good fighter. with that logic bumfights should’ve been some of the greatest fights in the history of the world.
First, don’t knock the greatness of Bumfights. Second, Rogers is fighting for several hundred thousand dollars vs. going back to work at Wal-Mart. Bumfight winners get a hot deluxe platter meal, while the loser gets a cold sandwich. Not nearly as much on the line there.
MMMMmmmm….Deluxe.
being a gangster and having that gangster mentality has everything to with it.. He won’t be afraid of him and he won’t hold anything back..
to do with it*
being a gangster makes you a criminal, not a badass
hmm, never really thought about it like that, bums have to be aboue the hungriest people there are. With that kind of drive, they should be unstoppable… I’ve just found my window into managing fighters… $$$$ here I come
I guarantee Rogers IS NOT fighting for several hundren thousand dallors a fight!!!!!!!!!!!!! 30.000 prolly.
crazy not to take those odds, if not for a mini 100 bet to win 500!
must be a lot of people with the same idea, odds are at plus 300 now!
Bet on Rogers. Can’t believe he so much of an underdog. I think the fight is pretty even. Rogers has good takedown defense and good standup. gonan be a standup war and Brett can take this one.
Lawler-TKO
Diaz- SUB
AA-TKO
Riggs-TKO
Randlman-UD
Shields – 2nd rd SUB
Diaz – 2nd rd sub
Rogers – 1st rd TKO
Baroni – UD
Randleman UD
the diaz fight is the most interesting. Please let Lawler crush sheilds. Cung Le needs to defend the title but both diaz and scott had fights 2 months ago. Cung Le has not had a fight in over a year. He will probably face the winner of Lawler and over rated Jake. Diaz will go to 170 and crush everyone.
im in the uk, so wont be able to see it, anyone know where i can watch this on the net?
Justin.tv
They stream all the live mma events
mmatko.com
hey in mmatko u can watch the mma events live? dont think so
Shields (sub triangle 3rd)
Diaz (ud)
Arlovski (sub heelhook 1st)
Riggs (sub RnC 2nd)
Randleman (tko 2nd)
tell you what; if rogers wins, dana is going to be all up on that.
AA will know Rogers out. Its that simple.
Are you serious? You’re picking Rogers because of that?! Ridiculous, Sam’s Club here we come!
Shields = Sub.
Smith = UD.
Rogers = Flash KO round 1.
Riggs = Sub.
Whitehead or Randleman = Hell of a boring fight…, can’t the both of them just die in there… please???!!!