
UFC 85: “Bedlam” is set for tomorrow, Saturday June 7, from the O2 Arena in London, England. The main card action is set to begin at 3 p.m. ET on pay-per-view (PPV).
Remember: MMAmania.com will provide LIVE updates and blow-by-blow, round-by-round commentary of the main card action throughout the telecast. As usual, it promises to be a great discussion during an exciting night of fights.
To get us pumped for the afternoon festivities, Mania himself will attempt to clear his bad name after a disastrous contribution the last time he appeared in this column, going toe-to-toe with senior writer and turgid egomaniac Jesse Holland with predictions for the upcoming event.
The mission: Forecast which fighters will leave the Octagon with their hands raised during the featured fights of the show.
It’s important to note for the predictions that while someone may be lauding a certain fighter, he isn’t necessarily the guy who he thinks is going to win.
Basically, we never want this to come out sounding repetitive. At the end of each analysis, therefore, you will see the individual picks at the conclusion of the write ups.
Let’s get to it:
Matt Hughes (42-6) vs. Thiago Alves (14-3)
Jesse Holland: What I find surprising about Matt Hughes is how many people are throwing in the towel when it comes to his career. And for what? Losing to Georges St. Pierre? Hughes is 21-3 since 2001 and aside from the two to GSP his only other loss was the upset to current UFC lightweight champion BJ Penn at UFC 46 — a loss he avenged in 2006. Hughes’ biggest asset coming into this fight is his experience. Not only has he held the welterweight strap, he’s defeated some of the best 170-pound fighters in the world. He knows how to fight on the big stage and since when is being 34 washed up? Hughes doesn’t carry around a lot of excess muscle and his body has remained relatively healthy over the years. As far as I’m concerned, this entire fight is going to depend on how well Alves can defend the shot. Hughes’ dominance on the ground is the stuff of legend and Alves has not shown me enough in his wins or his losses to convince me he’s able to defend someone as strong and as relentless as Hughes. It would not surprise me to see a vintage slam and if Hughes can set the pace early against Alves — who often needs more time to warm up than my sister’s ‘72 Bonneville. This one isn’t going to make it out of the first round.
MMAmania: “The Pitbull” has been on a role since his eight-month suspension for ingesting a banned substance (diuretic), finishing his last three opponents in impressive fashion. His upset stoppage of top contender and super tough Karo Parisyan at UFC Fight Night 13 catapulted him into the upper echelon of the very loaded 170-pound division. And a win over a high-profile former champion such as Matt Hughes will only raise his stock that much more. Alves has a fantastic and devastating striking arsenal, whether it’s crushing knees, strafing kicks or powerful punch combinations. He’ll need to keep this fight upright if he has any hopes of toppling Hughes, which could be troublesome because Hughes will more than likely do everything in his power to take him down. Alves trains at arguably the top gym in the world at American Top Team and has some of the most talented training partners around him. There’s no question that he has drilled takedown defense to prepare for Hughes’ attack as much as Jesse Holland abuses his plastic Asian blow-up princess. Alves needs to keep his distance with a mix of jabs and kicks as make Hughes pay with knees anytime he gets close. Alves — who is just 24-years-old and has never been on such a big stage — needs to stay composed early and put the label as a slow starter behind him … otherwise it’s going to be a disappointing night for the proud Brazilian. Much worse than the weigh-in debacle.
Final predictions:
Jesse Holland: Hughes via technical knockout
MMAmania: Hughes via submission
Michael Bisping (15-1) vs. Jason Day (17-5)
Jesse Holland: Jason Day has won five straight and is 15-2 since 2005. He’s also coming off an impressive UFC debut where he defeated Alan Belcher with strikes in the first round at UFC 83. He’s a talented striker who ends almost half of his fights via (T)KO and has been known to pull off an armbar or two. Day has his hands full against Bisping, but if he follows the example set by Matt Hamill and Rashad Evans he can pull this one off. “The Count” doesn’t like to get hit, and gets a little flustered when he’s beaten to the punch. Day needs to work the jab and keep the pressure on without lingering in the pocket for an undue amount of time. The goal is to frustrate Bisping and keep him off balance and out of sorts. Stick and move! Even with the move to 185, I’m still not convinced that Bisping has a full tank of gas and Day can use that to his advantage. The crowd will be more of a factor for Bisping than it will for Day with Bisping having the pressure of performing in front of his hometown. If he can cut off the ring and be the aggressor, it’s likely he can steal this one.
MMAmania: The popular British mixed martial artist, Michael Bisping, is no stranger to being in the spotlight before a roaring hometown crowd. Saturday night will be no different. Bisping will look to erase the memories of his last performance in London — the controversial win over Matt Hamill at UFC 75: “Champion vs. Champion” — with an impressive showing against Jason Day. “The Count” looks fit, agile and powerful at 185 pounds and will be determined to finish the Canadian and avoid leaving the decision up to the judges. As usual, there will be a tremendous amount of pressure on Bisping to win, but as we’ve seen in the past he’s passed the test before. Day is a gritty opponent who has said on numerous occasions that he intends to stand and bang to put on a show for all those watching from around the world. That’s not the best strategy if it is indeed accurate — Bisping has some nice stand up skills. But as we witnessed against Alan Belcher, Day is capable of finishing his opponents while upright. This is a tough fight to predict because there is no quit in either of these two fighters — in 38 combined professional fights between the two only three bouts have gone to decision. Expect more of the same this time around.
Final predictions:
Jesse Holland: Bisping via technical knockout
MMAmania: Day via technical knockout
Nate Marquardt (26-7) vs. Thales Leites (12-1)
Jesse Holland: Thales Leites is a 12-1 jiu-jitsu machine that is making his fifth UFC appearance since he debuted against Martin Kampmann at UFC Ultimate Finale 4 back in 2006. He is also coming off two straight first-round submission wins against Ryan Jensen and Floyd Sword and looks to keep that streak going. He will have his hands full, however, against Marquardt who has excellent submission defense. The key for Leites will be inside fighting. If he can’t get any type of submission offense going then he has to use any closed distance opportunities to land bombs. Whether it be on the floor or against the cage he has to stay busy and keep the pace high. Marquardt has been known to play it safe and that gives Leites his best chance for victory. I don’t think he’s good enough to defeat Marquardt, but I do think he can take home the decision if he outworks him.
MMAmania: Nate Marquardt — the soft-spoken, one-time 185-pound title challenger — is out to prove that he is still among the best middleweights in the world. His loss to Anderson Silva hurt real bad and set him back quite a bit. But then he nearly ripped Jeremy Horn’s neck off his spine in a very impressive win at UFC 81: “Breaking Point.” He’s got tremendous power and fantastic defense — Dean Lister, a very craft Brazilian jiu-jitsu player, could do absolutely nothing in their bout at UFC Fight Night 8. Thales Leites relies heavily on his jiu-jitsu prowess and has some of the best submissions in the sport right now. His stand up, however, is a glaring weakness that was exposed in his Octagon debut against Martin Kampmann at TUF 4 Finale. He is the perfect opponent for an experienced veteran such as Marquardt. He can’t hurt him on the feet and more than likely will be unable to sink in a submission unless there is a catastrophic lapse on the part of Marquardt. Let’s just hope that the “new” Nate continues to enter the eight-sided cage with bad intentions and does not revert back to his old, boring and careful approach.
Final predictions:
Jesse Holland: Marquardt via unanimous decision
MMAmania: Marquardt via unanimous decision
Mike Swick (11-2) vs. Marcus Davis (14-3)
Jesse Holland: Mike Swick is back from a lackluster performance and has something to prove. He dropped down to 170 after a tough loss to Yushin Okami and looked a little flat in a winning effort against Josh Burkman but I think he was adjusting to the new weight class. Against Davis I expect to see the Swick of old. He shares the nickname “Quick” with MMAmania (who was awarded that moniker by his ex-girlfriends) and I favor him in this match-up against Davis. “The Irish Hand Grenade” certainly has the advantage in power, but I consider Swick to have cleaner, more refined stand-up. True that Davis is a former boxer but Swick is a better MMA striker and his combinations are rock solid. Swick is tall and lean and he should have no trouble staying out of the range of Davis — who also has improved submission skills. But are they good enough to submit a wily Swick? Doubtful. But even more doubtful is the likelihood of this becoming a ground war. Davis is going to try and bully Swick and it wouldn’t surprise me to see a lot of time spent pressed against the cage. If Swick can avoid the knockout punch, he can and should batter Davis to a unanimous decision.
MMAmania: Is there a hotter fighter right now than the “Irish Hand Grenade?” He has 11 consecutive wins coming into this bout and has vastly improved since his stint on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF). Davis punches like he has a roll of quarters packed in each fist, which he’ll look to put on display this weekend. In addition, he has “Big Nog”-esque recuperative powers (see Paul Taylor) — Davis has never been stopped via strikes. His opponent, on the other hand, has been dropped earlier in his career. And he has not necessarily demonstrated an ability to finish fights from his feet. However, Swick is extremely dangerous with his complete all-around tool box (skills, not Jesse Holland.) He can certainly finish Davis, but it’s just not likely going to happen if the two opt to stand toe-to-toe. And that’s possibly how this might pan out. Swick is coming off a poor winning performance and might feel the need to go out and go balls to the wall. It’s a strategy that could literally blow up in his face courtesy of a Davis five-knuckle hand grenade.
Final predictions:
Jesse Holland: Swick via unanimous decision
MMAmania: Davis via knockout
Brandon Vera (8-1) vs. Fabricio Werdum (10-3-1)
Jesse Holland: As it stands, Brandon Vera is probably the only heavyweight in the division who has a chance of defeating current champion Antonio Rodrigo “Minotauro” Nogeuira. The unfortunate thing for Vera is that he was on a torrid pace in the UFC until contract negotiations and some other monkey business kept him out of action. In fact, he’s only had one fight since November of 2006 — a decision loss to Tim Sylvia at UFC 77. Nevertheless, he is a dangerous fighter. He has blinding speed in his strikes and throws kicks like a guy half his weight. He also has a solid ground game and decent submission skills. Werdum is a talented, agile fighter, but he goes into defensive mode when he gets into trouble. Vera needs to keep it standing where he has the distinct advantage and force Werdum to make a mistake. Leg kicks will be the order of the day and as long as he doesn’t get wrapped up in the showmanship aspect of this fight, he can end it convincingly.
MMAmania: Sans a bad unanimous decision loss to Andrei Arlovski, Fabricio Werdum has shown that he is among the top heavyweights on the planet. He has two wins over Gabriel Gonzaga, a submission victory over Aleksander Emelianenko, as well as Alistair Overeem, and put up a great fight against Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira in a losing effort while competing under the Pride FC banner. He can cause anyone some major problems if he can impose his will and has time to work his top shelf submission game. Werdum is not known for his striking, which could be a concern if Brandon Vera is able to keep this contest upright. “The Truth” has serious Muay Thai skills that are capable of putting Werdum on his ass at any moment from any angle. He’s quick and agile for the division, posing some interesting challenges for the Brazilian. If he is able to takedown Vera, chances are that Vera’s submission defense is good enough to thwart just about anything and his superb wrestling will help him escape from any dangerous situations on the mat. This is a bad match up for Werdum.
Final predictions:
Jesse Holland: Vera via technical knockout
MMAmania: Vera via technical knockout
That’s a wrap, folks.
Remember to come check us out after the show for all the latest results, recaps and our coverage of UFC 85: “Bedlam.” For the complete fight card click here.
What do you think? Now it’s your turn … let us have it in the comments section and share your thoughts and picks for UFC 85.
69 Comments »
















I agree with all the predictions…and on the split one, I go with Davis over swick. What made me laugh out loud was that dooms day has written 3 or 4 columns leading up to the event, and neither of you picked him to win. That’s classic!! Good write up, and I totaly agree the Hughes fight doesn’t get out of the first!
No, I actually meant to pick Day. Thanks for pointing it out. I’ve been waffling for the best few days on the decision — my head says Bisping, my gut tells me Day. I like his blue-collar approach.
lol playing both sides of the fence? so for the record its day?? what’s your take on gorandy bashing you guys?
It’s Day. And as far as GoRandy I couldn’t give two shits — and neither should you. If you don’t like someone’s comments, Kevin, ignore them. We have this conversation daily. It’s not that hard to not respond and it’s totally retarded that you feel compelled to get in a pissing match on a message board with someone who is more than likely deliberately going out of his way to provoke you. I’m confident that you have better things to do and better discussions to discuss.
ok bro, you’re right, i’m just very passionate about the sport, and truly love your site! on a serious note, what happens at 3 pm, I’m not complaining, just asking a serious question!
one more thing, I was chatting with Jesse late night last week, and I know who adam is, who is “mmamania?” where are you guys run out of, I have lots of questions, just never ask them
What do you mean what happens? The PPV starts and the main card begins, along with our PBP coverage.
not tomorrow, at your site! lol I know about the ppv! I meant comments stop for a while after 3 (cali time)
Kevin-
I am surprised that you can understand GoRandy’s posts. They look like the rantings of a dyslexic, high school drop out. Responding to his/her posts is like arguing with the town drunk.
Hughes via TKO Rd 2
Leites via Decision
Davis via TKO Rd 2
Vera via Decision
In Jesse’s Mike Swick write up it says he moved back down to 185 after fighting Okami. He moved back down to 185 after TUF 1 and he moved down to WW after Okami. Don’t mean to nitpick, but someone’s gonna call it out…
Fixed.
I’m with Mania. I think that Day is going to bring it to Michael Bisping. We’ve all seen Bisping fight and we know his arsenal. No KO power and not so great once the fight his the floor (although, he isn’t THAT bad). This has serious potential to be Jason Day’s coming out party.
Bisping has yet to fight a well rounded fighter like Jason Day. I am going to bet more money on Day right this moment…
hey mike, you get my locks I emailed you? talk about gambling, my “main” stock is down 2 bucks a share today..ouch!!
Yeah Kev, just wrote you back. Have a good weekend everyone!
agree about Day with you ViolentMike - he’s super pumped for this fight - he’s relaxed too, no pressure. I’ll be wearing my Dooms Day shirt with pride tomorrow. Excellent bet too. Enjoy the fights brother…cheers.
VM: I know you are not at work now so you will get this on Monday morning
Hopefully after a Bisping win
I usually agree with most of what you post but come on, Bisping doesn’t have any KO Power???
His record is Wins 15 (By KO/TKO 10 By Submission 4) Losses 1
Bisping can hit and done so repeatedly before the UFC. He just has his hands full, in the UFC, defending takedowns to concentrate on just banging but believe me, he can bang.
Remember he is British which generally means most of the fights were stand up as the ground game was in its infancy.
Damn I’m good
lol
Those are my picks too, and i am never right…so expect some upsets.
Matt Hughes defeats Thiago Alves Round 3 TKO
Fabricio Werdum defeats Brandon Vera via Split Decision
Marcus Davis defeats Mike Swick via Round 2 Armbar
Thales Leites defeats Nate Marquardt via Split Decision
Jason Day defeats Michael Bisping via Round 2 Armbar
wow, I respect your picks, but they are odd to say the least.
swick/davis will be a stand up fight
2 split decisions???
and alves going 3 rounds with a legend?
hope you enjoy the ppv
Kevin, you said your were going to alcatraz…where is home at? I’m here in Petaluma North of San Fran.
fremont
alves, bisping, davis, vera… this card may have been cursed but has potential to be a KO-fest.
MMAMania, you completely forgot about Bisping’s most recent fight against McCarthy.
No I didn’t. I completely forgot to put … “in London.”
Thanks.
“There’s no question that he has drilled takedown defense to prepare for Hughes’ attack as much as Jesse Holland abuses his plastic Asian blow-up princess.”
Your use of a simile is cruel and entertaining.
I salute you.
“He shares the nickname “Quick” with MMAmania (who was awarded that moniker by his ex-girlfriends)…”
Oh! A retort by Jesse!
Good stuff, guys…
2 things about swick davis,
swicks timing is not so good, burkman and okami got inside of him fairly easily.
this is his first fight outside of 1 timezone away since he fought in ct in the beginning of his career, much less england.
this will be swicks 2nd fight in 1 years time.
swick is not good against southpaws.
im putting 500 on davis to win this fight.
good bet
Gotta LOVE the odds on Davis. I remember when this fight was first announced, me and John were discussing what the opening lines would most likely be. We had Davis pegged as about a -135 favorite and said catching him “+ anything” would be unbelievable. Sitting at -105 is as close as it gets to being positive.
i think the mmaplayground odds are fairly well done, i have davis at around -185
i see the only way swick can win is by decision or cut. and swick isnt the type that fights for decision, burkman and okami controlled the flow of those fights and forced it to decision, not swick. he wanted to stand and trade which is a recipe for some sour cake against davis.
I picked:
Hughes, Vera, Bisping, Davis, and Marquadt. I think out of all of those it is possible Day upsets Bisping and I wouldn’t sleep on Mike Swick, though he looked horrible against Burkman.
my predictions are way different:
alves
bisping
leites
werdum
we’ll see tomorrow what happens, I’m just glad I don’t bet
You guys are being stupid? day was scared at the weigh in! Bisping has the mental edge. he will tko him thats a fact!
“If it had been a world title fight, I’d have been furious,” White told setantasport
Hughes takes 10 percent of Alves’ purse for accepting the fight.
thats 1t??? that sounds low…but his win bonus for beating this embarrassment will be huge!!! I figured it would be 15-25 %
oh and by the way, that was your first good post gorandy, congrats!!!
Alves- TKO
Day- TKO (God, I hope Bisping gets exposed)
Vera- Decision
Davis- KO (split here, one is them is getting slept)
Marquardt- TKO
Kampmann- Submission
Lambert- TKO
I like rivera! he’s from 5 minutes from where I grew up
Exactly they way I have it. Except Vera by TKO and Marquardt by decision.
Day- TKO (God, I hope Bisping gets exposed)….why?
Do you like seeing men naked lol??
Bisping all the way !!
no way
Hughes
Davis
Day
Vera
marquardt
it’s a rarity that someone has the same picks as i do…. it’s good to hear
To be honest, the only two fights I care about are Day/Bisping and Werdum/Vera.
I’m standing behind Werdum on this one. I don’t think Vera is going to be able to put Fabricio away on his feet. At the same time, Vera has credible wrestling abilities and might be able to avoid being submitted. I expect Vera to come out strong in the first round, maybe even winning it. But his cardio will succumb to the Brazilian’s relentless takedowns, and underrated striking.
Werdum via decision. ^
Hughes(Decision, just wears the kid out)
Davis(KO)
Bis (TKO)
Werdum(via a boring cat and mouse keep away battle decision)
agree except I got vera…good picks adam
Thanks Adam G. Good to see a bit of sanity
Bisping! Bisping! Bisping! lol
predictions
hughes vs alves winner-hughes via unanimous desicion
day vs bisping winner-bisping via tko round 2
swick vs davis winner-swick via unanimous desicion
Marquardt vs Leites winner-Marquardt via unanimous dsicion
vera vs verdum winner-vera via tko round 2
hughes vs alves winner-hughes via unanimous desicion
day vs bisping winner-bisping via tko round 2
swick vs davis winner-swick via unanimous desicion
Marquardt vs Leites winner-Marquardt via unanimous dsicion
vera vs verdum winner-vera via tko round 2
i think this is a great card way to go MMA Mania!!!
I don’t agree with all the picks.
I got Swick, Bisping, Marquart, Hughes and Werdum.
Werdum because I truly believe he can win but he has to push the pace as stated.
These are my favorite articles I always take my time and read all the perdictions.
Thanks guys-
I am drunk and English which probably has a lot to do with my prediction below.
Bisping by TKO (Strikes) 2nd Round.
I am not pro Bisping because he is a brit, I just really want him to win and then fight Leben as I think that was a true test (No disrespect meant to Jason Day).
Hughes via G’n'P finish late 2nd rnd
Dooms Day via decision
Vera via TKO
Marquart via decision
Davis via brutal KO
and you’re kidding that Leben would be more of a test than Day right?? - good, just checking.
Erm no I definitely think that Leben would bring the fight more than Day which is what i think imo would test Bisping more.Just check their records.
Leben has wins over:
Alessio Sakara (16-6-1) TKO (strikes)
Jorge Rivera (15-6-0)TKO (Strikes)
Patrick Côté (13-4-0) - Who has in the past beat Day.
Mike Swick (11-2-0) KO (Punch)
Day Has wins over:
Alan Belcher (11-4-0)TKO (Punches)
David Loiseau (14-6-0)Decision (Split)
Jonathan Goulet - Natural welter weight (22-9-1) Submission (Armbar)
And it seems the rest of Canada (except of course GSP)
Day is a much more well rounded fighter than Leben - who is granted, phenomenal on his feet and has a chin of granite. You don’t need to quote stats - I know their records…but thanks for clarifying that - I know Day personally and I know what this fight means to him. Leben’s big wins have all come via TKO - all I’m saying is Jason can bring the fight to Bisping wherever it ends up and Leben would put his A. Silva gameplan to work.
Hughes by Armbar
Bisping by KO, knees to day’s face ( I hate bisping though )
Werdum by strikes
Nate by tko
Swick by ko, ( High kick to the head of davis )
BTW mania the weigh in videos have been up on ufc.com for 45 mins
This card is interesting in that it has all good, but no great fights (especially the odd main event) and that, for me, the fights are all very difficult to predict. I’m an avid mma gambler, and don’t have a good feel for the numbers and matchups on this one. The fights are almost as difficult for me to predict than it was for Jesse to come up with a pithy insult in his write up. It will be an interesting night of fights, enjoy it everyone.
yo Adamg!!!!!
Are you known as “BJ Penn MMA” on another site?? Just curious.
worst card yet this year i will save 45 buxx thus month at least
alves
bisping (hope im wrong)
marcus davis ko 1st rnd
thales leites
brandon vera tko
martin kampman
jason lambert
hardonk
Werdum upset ALL day
Jason Day is best way to make $$$…he is going to sub Bisping
Thales Leites will win and make a name for himself in doing so. I thought he was a future star even when I saw him debut against Kampman and lose. The things that caused him to lose were easily correctible. I think he can be a middleweight version of BJ Penn.
Anyways, I called Relic over Gouveia last month when I didn’t see it picked anywhere else. And I haven’t seen hardly anybody pick Thales.
Besides that I pretty much agree with the consensus: Hughes and Vera and then I got Davis (super close call) and Bisping (he will find a way to just win 1 more time)…
~G$
bisping hasnt got a full tank of gas what planet is jesse holland on thats his best attribute.he prides himself on cardio another brit basher me thinks
His last fight to go to the judges was against Rashad Evans and to me he looked slow and sluggish in the last round…he may have had an off night but like I said, I’m still not convinced.
Man am I livid. Someone NEEDS to sit the refs down and TELL them to SMARTEN THE FUCK UP! I’ve seen some shitty calls before ,but the Vera fight was RIDICULOUS. Vera got ROBBED. He didn’t take ANY, NONE,NADDA damage (he blocked those love taps). He was SCREAMING “I”M OK”, I’M OK”, “I’M OK, you DUMB, BLIDE, STUPID FUCKIN ref, don’t even think of stopping it, there is only a few seconds left and I took NO damage, “I’M FUCKEN OK”. And Nate WON that fight EASY, WITHOUT QUESTION, there is no debating it. Even with ONE (NOT FUCKEN TWO, YOU BLIND REF) point taken away. It was PLAIN as day,that strike was to THE SIDE OF THE HEAD. Lastly Alves is a CHEATER. I’ve been around bodybuilding for enough years to KNOW the difference between an OBVIOUS juiced body and a natural one. They NEED to ramdomly test that CHEAT. Ok, I,m done venting. Please post this Mania. I know I used a few of Dana’s favorite words, but it need to be said. These bullshit decisions just derailed 2 of best fighters in the UFC. Maybe if enough people make their voice be heard,Dana will do something about this mess. The PAYING fans got robbed out of seeing what looked to be a VERY entertaining fight (Vera- Werdume). I think a rematch is in order.
Marquadt was warned a bunch…he won the fight, but 2 point deductions is almost impossible to overcome
The Werdum fight was another quick call
and BIG SUPRISE. SAME REF as the Kimbo\Thompson fight
That ref is a joke…just because he is a big ex-wrestler steroid freak doesn’t mean he is a good ref
Dan Mirgliafagga = Worst ref in MMA (clueless….idiot)
Wow.
MMAMania.com gets all predictions wrong
OUCH