Comments on: UFC 69 betting tips and advice from Desert Dog http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/ UFC news, event schedules, fight analysis, Octagon predictions, UFC fighters and MMA thoughts Tue, 02 Dec 2008 18:05:52 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5 By: RaginAsian http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-29243 RaginAsian Sun, 08 Apr 2007 07:41:47 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-29243 I've been comparing picks from here and UFCJunkie and figuring out the process as I go by learning from making mistakes. Here's my current method: - Bet what I'm willing to lose - Underdogs only - On parlays with multiple underdogs, put straight bets on the bigger underdog I've come out ahead before when Couture upset Sylvia (lost a good chunk due to "sure thing" Sobral), and came out way ahead this weekend thanks to McCully and Serra's upsets. Yeah, I lost some too, particularly going for a McCully-Mishima parlay, a Koscheck-Garcia parlay, and a straight bet on Garcia. But because they were all underdogs, my investment was minimal and would be covered if just one of them pulled out a win. Which in the game of MMA, they usually do. I’ve been comparing picks from here and UFCJunkie and figuring out the process as I go by learning from making mistakes.

Here’s my current method:
- Bet what I’m willing to lose
- Underdogs only
- On parlays with multiple underdogs, put straight bets on the bigger underdog

I’ve come out ahead before when Couture upset Sylvia (lost a good chunk due to “sure thing” Sobral), and came out way ahead this weekend thanks to McCully and Serra’s upsets. Yeah, I lost some too, particularly going for a McCully-Mishima parlay, a Koscheck-Garcia parlay, and a straight bet on Garcia. But because they were all underdogs, my investment was minimal and would be covered if just one of them pulled out a win. Which in the game of MMA, they usually do.

]]> By: savior http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-29130 savior Sun, 08 Apr 2007 05:32:46 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-29130 Desert Dog, the night just ended and I could do better than you by flipping a coin. Go get a job at a call center. Desert Dog, the night just ended and I could do better than you by flipping a coin. Go get a job at a call center.

]]> By: MoreThanUFC http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28874 MoreThanUFC Sat, 07 Apr 2007 23:27:58 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28874 If we lived in the same country, I would say we knew each other YTed. Btw, good job again DDog. Dont always agree, but I respect your analysis. If we lived in the same country, I would say we knew each other YTed.
Btw, good job again DDog. Dont always agree, but I respect your analysis.

]]> By: Desert Dog http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28837 Desert Dog Sat, 07 Apr 2007 21:54:32 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28837 That fight could certainly go either way. Okami has serious skills. I went with swick because i've never seen anyone control him on the ground for very long. The Crow was very close in the 3rd round of their fight but Mike was able to wok his way out. I think Okami will have to dominte Swick on the ground to avoid going to the judges cards. It should be a hell of a battle. That fight could certainly go either way. Okami has serious skills. I went with swick because i’ve never seen anyone control him on the ground for very long. The Crow was very close in the 3rd round of their fight but Mike was able to wok his way out. I think Okami will have to dominte Swick on the ground to avoid going to the judges cards. It should be a hell of a battle.

]]> By: YouTapped http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28649 YouTapped Sat, 07 Apr 2007 15:54:52 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28649 [quote comment="28643"]Gotta disagree with that one. Yeah, Serra has about a 5% chance, but Okami is a smart fighter with good skills all around. Swick, to me, is still unproven. Okami, 3rd Ko.[/quote] Either you can read my mind or you are a friend of mine from the gym. I liked the matches against the TUF3 guys, especially the very annoying and boring Rory Singer. [quote comment=”28643″]Gotta disagree with that one. Yeah, Serra has about a 5% chance, but Okami is a smart fighter with good skills all around. Swick, to me, is still unproven. Okami, 3rd Ko.[/quote]

Either you can read my mind or you are a friend of mine from the gym. I liked the matches against the TUF3 guys, especially the very annoying and boring Rory Singer.

]]> By: MoreThanUFC http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28643 MoreThanUFC Sat, 07 Apr 2007 15:34:46 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28643 " I think most of these fights with the exception of GSP v. Seera, and Swick v. Okami have potential to go either way." Gotta disagree with that one. Yeah, Serra has about a 5% chance, but Okami is a smart fighter with good skills all around. Swick, to me, is still unproven. Okami, 3rd Ko. ” I think most of these fights with the exception of GSP v. Seera, and Swick v. Okami have potential to go either way.”

Gotta disagree with that one. Yeah, Serra has about a 5% chance, but Okami is a smart fighter with good skills all around. Swick, to me, is still unproven. Okami, 3rd Ko.

]]> By: Desert Dog http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28620 Desert Dog Sat, 07 Apr 2007 14:45:44 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28620 My nose is clean lol....My UFN picks went OK I came out up 0.4 points. The underdog picks were a set meant to have the best chance for making money, not getting rich and not going broke. I bet often so my style is to keep moving my acounts in the postive direction by minimizing risks. The parlays aren't something I typically use but, I'm a huge GSP believer, big enough that I'm willing to base almost ALL of my bets on him winning.....That doesn't happen on many cards for me. Have a great weekend of fights all. My nose is clean lol….My UFN picks went OK I came out up 0.4 points. The underdog picks were a set meant to have the best chance for making money, not getting rich and not going broke.

I bet often so my style is to keep moving my acounts in the postive direction by minimizing risks.

The parlays aren’t something I typically use but, I’m a huge GSP believer, big enough that I’m willing to base almost ALL of my bets on him winning…..That doesn’t happen on many cards for me.

Have a great weekend of fights all.

]]> By: Chris Valentine http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28424 Chris Valentine Sat, 07 Apr 2007 06:50:54 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28424 UFC Mania, Well Called As for my picks, I am not betting to many. Of course I will bet on Pierre just due to his ability to control this fight. As far as Diego vs Kos, I would bet on Diego, but I am not and I hope that Kos kicks his ass. Mike Swick and yushin Okami looks to be a good show. I hope Swick finishes him, but agian I would not bet on this due to they both have great skills. I think Huerta will hit him with a good solid punch, and if it does not knock him out he will come on strong and began to realize what he needs to do, otherwise my pick is Huerta. Heath vs Brad should really be a dominate performance as long as Heath shows up for this fight and Brad does not catch him with a lucky punch. As for Drago, I think he will surprise. He will be my wild card pick, and I really think he has what it takes. I am really unsure for the Spratt fight. If he brings his A game and does not hesitate, he could very well pull off a victory. As for Josh Haynes, Luke Cummo, I think Haynes will surprise tonight. I really believe that he will catch Cummo hard and finish with ground and pound. LAter Chris UFC Mania,
Well Called

As for my picks, I am not betting to many. Of course I will bet on Pierre just due to his ability to control this fight. As far as Diego vs Kos, I would bet on Diego, but I am not and I hope that Kos kicks his ass. Mike Swick and yushin Okami looks to be a good show. I hope Swick finishes him, but agian I would not bet on this due to they both have great skills. I think Huerta will hit him with a good solid punch, and if it does not knock him out he will come on strong and began to realize what he needs to do, otherwise my pick is Huerta. Heath vs Brad should really be a dominate performance as long as Heath shows up for this fight and Brad does not catch him with a lucky punch. As for Drago, I think he will surprise. He will be my wild card pick, and I really think he has what it takes. I am really unsure for the Spratt fight. If he brings his A game and does not hesitate, he could very well pull off a victory. As for Josh Haynes, Luke Cummo, I think Haynes will surprise tonight. I really believe that he will catch Cummo hard and finish with ground and pound.

LAter
Chris

]]> By: UFCmania http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28364 UFCmania Sat, 07 Apr 2007 05:02:16 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28364 [quote post="1723"]Desert Dog, you couldn't pick your nose dude.[/quote] He was 2-4, which doesn't really warrant the harsh criticism. Besides, these are merely suggestions and tips -- not guaranteed locks. It should be used as a guide to help make informed decisions -- not force you to bet your rent money. [quote post=”1723″]Desert Dog, you couldn’t pick your nose dude.[/quote]

He was 2-4, which doesn’t really warrant the harsh criticism. Besides, these are merely suggestions and tips — not guaranteed locks. It should be used as a guide to help make informed decisions — not force you to bet your rent money.

]]> By: savior http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28361 savior Sat, 07 Apr 2007 04:48:59 +0000 http://mmamania.com/2007/04/06/ufc-69-betting-tips-and-advice-from-desert-dog/#comment-28361 Desert Dog, you couldn't pick your nose dude. You picks from Wednesday sucked. Desert Dog, you couldn’t pick your nose dude. You picks from Wednesday sucked.

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